Christmas shipping season cycle of short-term
Christmas consumer turn for the better hope that Europe and the United States to bring the idea of heavy cargo, it is possible to be dashed in the fourth quarter of this year. Air China, according to local senior director of business and responsible business to this reporter said that in the entire industry to reduce the overall capacity and freight revenue is low as two cases, the overall performance of the Christmas cargo could only be described as stable. Even if the manufacturers, the owner or the carrying amount of an active reservation ideal, does not mean that freight income will be increased significantly. Multi-trunk transport more than the overall pattern of erosion basically not be reversed, perhaps in the fourth quarter ahead of the arrival of off-season may dilute the atmosphere of the Christmas cargo.
Propose a group of shipping companies at the same time the industry will soon face the question: Once the cargo off-season ahead of the arrival of the cycle will be up to 6 months from November this year, next year in April, which means that sea transport and trade market is a low tide will soon be come. In the new low, the excess capacity, idle ships, the extra productivity (including human and material resources) are to face new problems and cost-effective test of time.
Shape, the second half of this month, decided to
A large liner company in Japan, director of flight operations, said European and American markets with the emphasis on spending the Christmas shopping, traditionally have had such an argument and experience, but in a global economic recession and the shipping industry downturn, this year most of the shipping companies do not and then hold the same view.
He stressed that the first 8 months of this year, market information and customer reaction to the situation, forecasting Christmas consumption and sea conditions, one has to "dull", "smooth" to describe the market space and the large advance reservation booking class, but also ship company's plans and to determine criteria for a good and bad markets.
The director said that as a customer, the nation's second-largest toy chain in September the company's American line booking of accommodation and the total amount of more or less in August, while the October booking is yet to materialize.
He said that the pan-too-line Christmas goods if the transport cycle and goods to the U.S. interior shelves ready to prepare the inventory measured in September send Christmas goods cargo is to assess the key to good and bad, but send cargo in October is close to an end, Thus, in September decided to shipping in the second half of this year, "good and bad fate" of the argument is justified. But compared to last year's historic highs, there is not the same level, at best, the volume of this year's Christmas season is only a low level in terms of smooth.
The director also spoke on the October send off the boxes of view. He said that mainland China's National Day in October this year, an extended holiday on the 8th, the first week of shipping is basically at a standstill, the first 2,3 weeks booking to deal primarily with a single urgent goods, are racing against time catch "A Christmas last train", a sudden increase in the goods possibility exists, but not too obvious, while the shipping companies would be more inclined season ended early, ahead of the arrival of off-season preparations. And the company will also closely monitor the major U.S. customers, especially the chain in October of booking accommodation to determine analysis of the prospects.
Turning to freight, he believes that the current America West Line Large Cabinet level in 1600 U.S. dollars freight charges, fees, compared with a year earlier, significantly lower, even with a variety of additional charges, but closed 2000 U.S. dollars per cabinet, in this circumstances, the capacity of the decline in the volume of a small rise in freight revenue was no significant benefit, the whole route will not bring much income for the effect of reducing losses.
The local Chinese-owned shipping lines on a regional explorer said that since last November shipping market nosedive since the current operating structure of the two main lines and patterns have not changed, the capacity is greater than carrying capacity, a serious surplus of space, forcing the whole industry is to reduce capacity two to three as to maintain the operation of ships carrying capacity per trip for more than eight to Jiucheng, our intention is to maintain the total capacity was similar with the overall traffic.
Next month is expected that non-urgent single-Replenishment
He pointed out that this year's Christmas shipment cycle is short, in September primary goods are out of the Christmas month, October will be significantly lower; In addition, he did not agree in October may have a single emergency replenishment with this argument. "By the Asian export goods, the main point of export is still in China, as we all know that the National Day holiday week up to 8 days, manufacturers, shippers, traders in arranging the Christmas cargo, it will only advance will be delayed, the best month in September Therefore, the volume on the rise in September, one of the reasons with this. European carriers due to a long life cycle, the current burst has emerged for each flight cabin, even if the American line was adjusted several times the capacity, traffic is still less than that of goods exports to the U.S. only at Christmas flat in a slight increase, indicating the majority of buyers on the American market consumption and purchasing power have strong reservations with the wait, even if there are urgent replenishment orders will be arranged at a later stage send cargo aviation, shipping, do not have the opportunity to benefit from them. "
Finally, he also talked about freight revenues that the second half of the additional freight shipping lines, income is unlikely to reverse the overall loss, only for the trading industry, a little help, but profit does not help, because the ship in operation charged freight, but also out of the market to make up the total shipping costs.
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